India's industrial output lowers in June

India's industrial output growth in negative zone contracts 0.1% in June

The factory output, as per the new Index of Industrial Production (IIP) with revised base year of 2011-12, declined by (-) 0.1 per cent during June from a rise of 2.80 per cent reported for May, 2017.

Data released by the Central Statistics Office (CSO) on Friday showed the index of industrial production (IIP) fell 0.1% in June compared to an expansion of 8% in the previous year-ago period and lower than the 2.8% growth in May.

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While mining and electricity output grew 0.4 percent and 2.1 percent, respectively, output in manufacturing dropped 0.4 percent. "The sequential downturn in June 2017 was led by a contraction in thermal electricity generation, as well as a moderation in the pace of growth of hydro electricity generation", said ICRA. Experts said they expect factory production is expected to remain muted in the months ahead.

The consumer durables and consumer non-durables have recorded growth of (-) 2.1 percent and 4.9 percent respectively.

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Among the six use-based classification groups, the output of primary goods contracted by (-) 0.2 per cent, (-) 0.6 per cent in intermediate goods, consumer durables declined by (-) 2.1 per cent and capital goods' was lower by (-) 6.8 per cent. "The year-on-year contraction in capital goods output for the third consecutive month highlights the continuing sluggishness in private sector investment activity".

The industry group "Manufacture of electrical equipment" has shown the highest negative growth of (-) 20.1 percent followed by (-) 11.1 percent in "Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment" and (-) 10.5 percent in "Printing and reproduction of recorded media". "In addition, favorable monsoon with higher crop output and allowances paid due to 7th pay commission implementation is likely to push consumer demand in the second half of the year".

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